Lessons from 2001
The last time there was this big a market rout, I learnt a few lessons.
- Vol is really expensive. Sell it around the money. But the wings are dangerous. I like being short vega in this kind of environment, but to get longer on big market falls or rallies.
- Whipsaws happen. Live with it and plan your rehedge frequency accordingly: failing to capture the whipsaw if you are long gamma loses you a lot of potential upside. Look at your 1%, 2.5%, 5% and 10% deltas, not just the instantaneous one.
- Gamma holes can kill you at any strike within 30% of the money. Fill them as cheaply as you can.
- Correlation structures break down completely in environments like this one. Be especially careful of assumptions about cross gamma or strategies like dispersion trading that rely on stable correlations.
Labels: Gamma, Local volatility
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